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MVC: school "strength" of OOC schedule [2019-2020], based on Massey College Basketball Ranking Composite

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ISU86
Freshman
Posts: 148
Joined: Mon Jul 17, 2017 5:04 pm

Tue Nov 05, 2019 12:32 pm

I went through each school's non-conference schedule and calculated an overall average rating (based on the opponent's Massey College Basketball Ranking Composite as of November 5, 2019). If a school is in a tournament, the opponents were weighted based on the round in which as school would play the opposition. For example, the Redbirds have a 100% chance to play the Bearcats, a 50% chance to play either the Hilltoppers or Falcons (equals 100), and a 25% chance to play one of the Wolfpack, Antelopes, Crusaders or Rams (equals 100); ISU could end up with a better rating if they play Western Kentucky and Nevada or a worse rating if they play Bowling Green State and Fordham). Finally, non-Division I opponents are excluded.


First, the overall rating per school (a median Division I rating would be 177).

1.) Illinois State: 128
2.) Northern Iowa: 151
3.) Bradley: 160
4.) Indiana State: 162
5.) Missouri State: 170
6.) Evansville: 172
7.) Loyola-Chicago: 174
8.) Valparaiso: 181
9.) Drake: 191
10.) Southern Illinois: 192


Quick glimpse for each school (best and worse (with the Massey College Basketball Ranking Composite) and any non-DI opposition).

Bradley
best: at Memphis [41] {could face vs Kansas State [39]}
worst: North Carolina A&T [316]
non-DI: Maryville

Drake
best: at Cincinnati [28]
worst: Kennesaw State [328]
non-DI: Mount Mary, Simpson

Evansville
best: at Kentucky [3]
worst: Western Illinois [300] {could face vs Morgan State [327]}
non-DI: Indiana-Kokomo

Illinois State
best: vs Cincinnati [28]
worst: Morehead State [263]
non-DI: Illinois-Springfield

Indiana State
best: at Louisville [8]
worst: Chicago State [353]
non-DI: Missouri-St. Louis

Loyola-Chicago
best: Davidson [57] {could face vs New Mexico State [52]}
worst: Coppin State [348]
non-DI: Quincy

Missouri State
best: at Louisiana State [19] {could face vs Florida [9]}
worst: Mississippi Valley State [352]
non-DI: none

Northern Iowa
best: at Colorado [43]
worst: Tennessee-Martin [276]
non-DI: Luther

Southern Illinois
best: at Missouri [60]
worst: North Carolina-Central [313]
non-DI: Illinois Wesleyan

Valparaiso
best: vs Arkansas [47] {could face vs Cincinnati [28]}
worst: at Southern Illinois-Edwardsville [330]
non-DI: Trinity Christian


Finally, list of all opponents in Massey College Basketball Ranking Composite order (undetermined tournament opposition listed at bottom for each school):

1.) Loyola-Chicago [105]
Davidson [57]
vs South Florida [88]
at Furman [91]
vs Vanderbilt [126]
at Ball State [131]
Saint Joseph's [203]
Indiana/Purdue-Indianapolis [234]
California-Davis [269]
Norfolk State [296]
Coppin State [348]
Quincy [n/a]
vs New Mexico State [52]/Colorado State [172]
vs Nebraska [85]/Old Dominion [122]/George Mason [149]/Washington State [173]

2.) Northern Iowa [127]
at Colorado [43]
vs West Virginia [56]
Old Dominion [122]
at Grand Canyon [135]
at Northern Illinois [141]
Marshall [151]
Northern Colorado [190]
California State-Bakersfield [220]
Cornell [265]
Tennessee-Martin [276]
Luther [n/a]

3.) Drake [143]
at Cincinnati [28]
at Dayton [65]
vs Miami (Ohio) [156]
at Air Force [201]
Lehigh [213]
Missouri-Kansas City [238]
Wisconsin-Milwaukee [275]
Southeast Missouri State [307]
Kennesaw State [328]
Mount Mary [n/a]
Simpson [n/a]
vs Northeastern [112]/South Alabama [163]
vs Murray State [88]/Wright State [113]/Weber State [200]/La Salle [207]

4.) Bradley [144]
at Memphis [41]
Toledo [95]
vs Northwestern [102]
Georgia Southern [117]
Radford [129]
at Miami (Ohio) [156]
Illinois-Chicago [162]
at Saint Joseph's [203]
Indiana/Purdue-Indianapolis [234]
Norfolk State [296]
North Carolina A&T [316]
Maryville [n/a]
vs Kansas State [39]/Pittsburgh [101]

5.) Missouri State [148]
at Louisiana State [19]
at Xavier [27]
at Virginia Commonwealth [33]
vs Rutgers [78]
Murray State [88]
Arkansas-Little Rock [240]
at Oral Roberts [242]
Arkansas State [286]
Cleveland State [305]
Alabama State [334]
Mississippi Valley State [352]
vs Florida [9]/Saint Joseph's [203]
vs Xavier [27]/Buffalo [72]/Connecticut [93]/Towson [216]

6.) Indiana State [169]
at Louisville [8]
at Dayton [65]
at Wright State [113]
vs Ball State [131]
vs Duquesne [134]
vs Loyola Marymount [150]
North Dakota State [158]
vs Air Force [201]
Tennessee State [304]
Chicago State [353]
Missouri-St. Louis [n/a]

7.) Southern Illinois [185]
at Missouri [60]
at Murray State [88]
San Francisco [109]
at Saint Louis [123]
vs Texas-San Antonio [142]
vs Oakland [187]
at Southern Mississippi [191]
Hampton [224]
vs Delaware [262]
Norfolk State [296]
Southeast Missouri State [307]
North Carolina-Central [313]
Illinois Wesleyan [n/a]

8.) Valparaiso [193]
vs Arkansas [47]
Toledo [95]
at Saint Louis [123]
vs Grand Canyon [135]
Central Michigan [137]
at Eastern Michigan [208]
North Dakota [268]
at North Carolina-Charlotte [277]
at High Point [285]
at Southern Illinois-Edwardsville [330]
Trinity Christian [n/a]
vs Nevada [77]/Fordham [244]
vs Cincinnati [28]/Western Kentucky [84]/Bowling Green State [118]/Illinois State [194]

9.) Illinois State [194]
vs Cincinnati [28]
at Texas Christian [50]
Belmont [70]
Central Florida [74]
at Northern Kentucky [115]
at Texas-San Antonio [142]
Illinois-Chicago [162]
Arkansas-Little Rock [240]
Morehead State [263]
Illinois-Springfield [n/a]
vs Western Kentucky [84]/Bowling Green State [118]
vs Nevada [77]/Grand Canyon [135]/Valparaiso [193]/Fordham [244]

10.) Evansville [206]
at Kentucky [3]
Murray State [88]
Southern Methodist [98]
Ball State [131]
at Miami (Ohio) [156]
at Wisconsin-Green Bay [164]
at Jacksonville State [188]
at Indiana/Purdue-Indianapolis [234]
vs East Carolina [237]
Western Illinois [300]
Indiana-Kokomo [n/a]
vs George Washington [228]/Missouri-Kansas City [238]
vs Liberty [83]/Rice [233]/Wisconsin-Milwaukee [275]/Morgan State [327]
no matter where you go ... there you are
CaliRdBrd
Senior
Posts: 1166
Joined: Mon Jul 17, 2017 12:24 pm

Tue Nov 05, 2019 5:22 pm

The fact that Grand Canyon is ranked nearly 60 spots ahead of ISU makes me want to cry...
Tpguy
Junior
Posts: 686
Joined: Mon Jul 17, 2017 9:02 pm

Tue Nov 05, 2019 7:15 pm

I'm going to check your math and get back to you
Metamoron
Sophomore
Posts: 293
Joined: Wed Jul 19, 2017 10:31 pm

Tue Nov 05, 2019 8:23 pm

Good on you. But that’s a lot of work. And I have absolutely no idea how all these computers come up with any rankings whatsoever when no one has played a game yet.
Trey_Guidry4three
Sophomore
Posts: 337
Joined: Sun Jan 28, 2018 3:51 pm

Tue Nov 05, 2019 8:28 pm

Lots of work. Good stuff. FYI- another thread a few weeks ago addressed this same topic and results in the same takeaway. = MVC is at an all time low . Of course this means we can win the conference this year right??
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